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THE 2010 Formula 1 World Drivers’ Champion will be one of four men. They are: Fernando Alonso of Ferrari, Mark Webber and Sebastian Vettel of Red Bull, and Lewis Hamilton of McLaren.

This is the first time ever that four drivers can win the title at the last race of the season, so as you can imagine there is a vast amount of different outcomes on offer. We will start with the man who is the outsider for this year’s crown.

Lewis Hamilton – 222 points: The 2008 World Champion will be Champion again if…

  • He wins; Alonso fails to score with Webber no higher than 6th and Vettel no higher than 3rd.

He must win to stand any chance of taking his second title.

Sebastian Vettel – 231 points: Last year’s runner-up will be Champion if…

  • He wins with Alonso no higher than 5th.
  • He is 2nd, with Alonso no higher than 9th and Webber is no higher than 5th.

So Vettel must win or come 2nd to be in with a shout.

Mark Webber – 238 points: He will become the third Aussie to win the title if…

  • He wins with Alonso no higher than 3rd.
  • He is 2nd, with Alonso no higher than 6th, as long as Vettel does not win.
  • He is 3rd, with Alonso no higher than 7th, as long as Vettel does not win.
  • He is 4th, with Alonso no higher than 9th, as long as Vettel does not win.
  • He is 5th, with Alonso no higher than 10th, as long as Vettel does not win.

Webber must be in the top five to be in contention.

Fernando Alonso – 246 points: The Spaniard will take his third title if…

  • He wins or is 2nd.
  • He is 3rd, 4th or 5th, with neither Webber nor Vettel winning.
  • He is 6th, with Webber no higher than 3rd, as long as Vettel does not win.
  • He is 7th or 8th, with Webber no higher than 4th, as long as Vettel does not win.
  • He is 9th, with Webber no higher than 5th, as long as Vettel is not on the podium.
  • He is 10th, with Webber no higher than 6th, as long as Vettel is not on the podium.
  • He fails to score, with Webber no higher than 6th, as long as Vettel is not on the podium and Hamilton does not win.

 All Alonso has to do is finish 1st or 2nd and all the above is irrelevant.

Deadlock – 256 points: Alonso, Webber and Vettel can all finish on this score, and have the Championship decided on count back for the first time ever if…

  • Vettel wins, Webber is 2nd and Alonso is 5th.

Vettel and Alonso would have five wins each, two 2nd places each and three 3rd places each. Vettel would be Champion because he would have three 4th places to Alonso’s two.

Phew.

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